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Saturday, April 13, 2024

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Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections"

Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections"

Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections"

Presentation at the I Round Table of Mathematicians

Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections"

In his work, Sergei Shpilkin gives a graphical overview of different methods of analyzing elections in different countries.

 
Previous Article Boris Ovchinnikov "Statistics against electoral fraud"
Next Article Roman Udot "Statistical Analysis of the Results of the Constitutional Referendum in the Republic of Armenia"
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Elections in the article

Armenia Referendum 2015

Summary of the Referendum Election Armenia in 2015
Wikipedia article.

For you, researchers:

Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:CEC of the Republic of Armenia
URL of the source:res.elections.am
Data validation file06.12.15n.pdf
Dataset:Preliminary results at 4-391.xlsx
Verification of the dataset with the source:

There is no need for verification because official data and the dataset are of a single source.

in the Lab

Documents to download

Russia, President 2012

Official title:

Election of the President of the Russian Federation

Winner/leader:

Putin Vladimir Vladimirovich

Wikipedia article:

Presidential elections in Russia (2012)

Lab Note:

Data loaded in Tools version 1.0 only

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.

Data report

12

On the same topic

DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

Good news for electoral observers, journalists and election investigators. You have a new and long-awaited tool - the interactive Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram. This detailed video lesson will help you understand how to work with this kit, what the advantages of an integrated approach are, how the tools help each other to detect an anomaly, or how the findings of one tool confirm the findings of...

New parameters to explore

But new, non-transparent types of voting in Russia we introduce new parameters for studying elections in the Lab. The "ntransparent vote opens new horizons for your research.

Criticism and bibliography

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and...

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare...

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an...
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