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Tuesday, May 21, 2024

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Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope

Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope

Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope

New Additions

.

A long-awaited update to the Lab: the 17 gubernatorial elections for the 2020 Single Voting Day have been fully uploaded!"

Now you can admire on your own such unique phenomena as:

  • " Spike of Governor Bogomaz",  from the Bryansk region, whose peak result sniped hit 70.0% to the nearest cent!!! What a peak!!!
  • Falsifications out of respect" in the Tambov region, which Sergey Shpilkin () wrote about, when the commissions in Rasskazovo drew a local businessman an honourable second place, completely forgetting about the laws of nature. 
  • "Two-Humped Governor Kobzev" tearing his region into two equal parts: "city" and "village".
  • "Cloud Wall" 50 per cent turnout for Governor Drozdenko of the Leningrad region. The rural districts wanted to please the governor with a turnout of at least 50%, and this is how it came out.
  • and many other fresh curiosities.

Well, drawing "under the line in such regions as Krasnodar Krai and Tatarstan is no longer a surprise to anyone. You can be calm: everything is in place. See for yourself™.

List of new elections to study

The list of uploaded elections includes: 

  • Election of the head of administration (governor) of Krasnodar Krai
  • Election of the head of administration of the Tambov region
  • Election of the Head of the Komi Republic
  • Election of the Head of the Chuvash Republic
  • Election of the Governor of the Arkhangelsk Region
  • Election of the Governor of the Bryansk region
  • Election of the Governor of the Jewish Autonomous Region
  • Election of the Governor of the Kaluga Region
  • Election of the Governor of the Kostroma region
  • Election of the Governor of the Leningrad Region
  • Election of the Governor of the Penza Region
  • Election of the Governor of the Rostov region
  • Election of the Governor of the Smolensk region
  • Election of the President of the Republic of Tatarstan
  • Election of the Governor of Sevastopol
  • Election of the Governor of Sevastopol
  • Early elections of the Governor of the Irkutsk region
  • Election of the Governor of the Kamchatka Territory
  • Early election of the Governor of the Perm Territory

 

In addition, at the request of one of the losing candidates, the elections to the City Council of Magnitogorsk were uploaded on an experimental basis. Unlike the usual analysis, when a single district is studied, there were 32 districts in the city of Magnitogorsk. The data is artificially grouped on the parties which have nominated candidates. Unfortunately for the candidate, obvious falsifications were not found. Most likely, there was a collusion with three self-nominated candidates who surprisingly defeated representatives of the ruling party in three districts.

But I may have missed something. See for yourself™. Help the man.

Time of publication and completeness of data

As you know, the election took place on 13.09.2020, but it wasn't until a week later, 21 September, that data became available to draw on. The "captcha" battle that unfolded on the CEC website also played an important role. The captcha was overcome almost immediately, but this led to a change in the data format for processing, without which the data would have been produced more quickly.

 

It should be remembered that it has never before been possible to make updates at such speed for so many elections. The exceptions are the presidential and parliamentary elections in Russia, Armenia and Ukraine, but these are still national elections, the only ones of the day.

The only exception is the presidential and parliamentary elections.

Note that in all the data provided by S. Shpilkin, one PEC is missing: the numerical PEC. The small discrepancy caused by this is indicated in the description of each election. The discrepancy is negligibly small and does not interfere with admiring the picture.
See for yourself™, search for yourself™. That's what this resource is for. Share your finds on social media, email [email protected], and we'll be happy to publish your discoveries.

For you, researchers:

The electoral data of all the elections from this article has been uploaded into the Lab . Now, you can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data of all the elections in this article is available in the Navigator for Elections and Datasets for download and independent analysis.
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Elections in the article

Briefly about the elections to the City Council  of Magnitogorsk (Chelyabinsk region, Russia) on 13.09.2020

Official title: Elections of deputies of the Magnitogorsk City Council of Deputies of the sixth convocation

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.chelyabinsk.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/chelyabinsk?action=show&root=1&tvd=4744026287074&vrn=4744026287070®ion=74&global=&sub_region=74&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=4744026287074&type=426
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Magnitogorsk City Council 2020.zip
Date of verification10/4/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

The elections were held in 32 constituencies. Due to this, no reconciliation was carried out.

The CEC created a captcha to collect data and analyse the data using captcha.

Accuracy of captcha.

in the Lab
Official title:

Early elections for Governor of Kamchatka Krai

Winner/leader:

Vladimir Solodov

Wikipedia article:

Выборы губернатора Камчатского края (2020)

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.kamchatka_krai.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/kamchatka_krai?action=show&root=1&tvd=2412000526935&vrn=2412000526931®ion=91&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=2412000526935&type=234
Data validation filescreenshot.zip
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Kamchatka Governor 2020.zip
Date of verification10/3/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy in 21 registered voters, 10 ballots (missing digital PEC due to technical reasons). Reconciliation result: Discrepancy in 21 registered voters, 10 ballots (missing digital PEC due to technical reason).

Digital PECs were not included in Spilkin's parsings in 2020.

Reliability of fixation by CEC creation of obstacles to data collection and data analysis by captcha.

in the Lab

Russia, Irkutsk Region, Governor 2020

Official title:


Early elections of the Governor of the Irkutsk Oblast



Winner/leader:


Igor Kobzev



Wikipedia article:


Выборы губернатора Иркутской области (2020)

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.irkutsk.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/irkutsk?action=show&root=1&tvd=23820002112877&vrn=23820002112873®ion=38&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=23820002112877&type=234
Data validation filescreenshot.zip
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Irkutsk Governor 2020.zip
Date of verification10/3/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy of 271 registered voters, 134 ballots (no digital PEC due to technical reasons).

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020.

Credibility of captcha The CEC created obstacles for data collection and data analysis by captcha.

in the Lab

Russia, Smolensk region, Governor 2020

Official title:

Election of the Governor of Smolensk Region

Winner/leader:

Alexei Ostrovsky

Wikipedia article:

Выборы губернатора Смоленской области (2020)

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.smolensk.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/smolensk?action=show&root=1&tvd=26720001150502&vrn=26720001150498®ion=67&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=26720001150502&type=234
Data validation filescreenshot.zip
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Smolensk Governor 2020.zip
Date of verification10/3/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy of 175 registered voters, 80 ballots (no digital PECs).

Digital PECs didn't make it into Spilkin's parsings in 2020.

Credibility of captcha The CEC's creation of obstacles to data collection and data analysis by captcha.

in the Lab

Russia, Rostov region, Governor 2020

Official title:


Election of the Governor of the Rostov region



Winner/leader:


Vasily Golubev



Wikipedia article:

Выборы губернатора Ростовской области (2020)

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/izbirkom?action=show&vrn=26120002274960®ion=61&prver=0&pronetvd=null
Data validation filescreenshot.zip
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Rostov Governor 2020.zip
Date of verification10/3/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Discrepancy in 1 PEC, 614 registered voters, 225 ballots (no digital PEC).

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020.

Credibility of captcha The CEC created obstacles for data collection and data analysis by captcha.

in the Lab

Russia, Kostroma region, Governor 2020

 

Official title:

Election of the governor of the Kostroma region

Winner/leader:

Sergei Sitnikov

Wikipedia article:

Выборы губернатора Костромской области (2020)

 

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.kostroma.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/kostroma?action=show&root=1&tvd=24420001040686&vrn=24420001040682®ion=44&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=24420001040686&type=234
Data validation filescreenshot.zip
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Kostroma Governor 2020.zip
Date of verification10/2/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy of 79 registered voters, 40 ballots (no digital PECs).

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin parsing in 2020.

Credibility of captcha The CEC created obstacles for data collection and data analysis by captcha.

in the Lab

Russia, Bryansk region, Governor 2020

Official title:

Election of the Governor of Bryansk Oblast

Winner/leader:

Alexander Bogomaz

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.bryansk.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/bryansk?action=show&root=1&tvd=23220001327314&vrn=23220001327310®ion=32&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=23220001327314&type=234
Data validation fileRussia_Bryansk_region_Governor_2020.pdf
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Russia_Bryansk_region_Governor_2020.zip
Date of verification10/2/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy: 250 voters, 100 ballots.

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020.

The CEC, by introducing the captcha mechanism on its website, deliberately created obstacles for citizens to familiarize themselves with and analyze the election results. This, in turn, reduced the reliability of capturing published data using the Wayback Machine and similar servers.

in the Lab
Official title:

Election of the Governor of the Jewish Autonomous Region

Winner/leader:

Rostislav Goldstein

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.jewish_aut.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/jewish_aut?action=show&root=1&tvd=2792000423738&vrn=2792000423734®ion=79&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=2792000423738&type=234
Data validation fileRussia_Jewish_AO_Governor_2020.pdf
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Russia_Jewish_AO_Governor_2020.zip
Date of verification9/20/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Divergence: 10 votes.

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020.

The CEC, by introducing the captcha mechanism on its website, deliberately created obstacles for citizens to familiarize themselves with and analyze the election results. This, in turn, reduced the reliability of capturing published data using the Wayback Machine and similar servers.

in the Lab

Russia, Kaluga Region, Governor 2020

 

Official title:

Election of the Governor of Kaluga Region

 

Winner/leader:

 

Vladislav Shapsha

 

Wikipedia article:

 

Выборы губернатора Калужской области (2020)

 

 

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.kaluga.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/kaluga?action=show&root=1&tvd=2402000974893&vrn=2402000974889®ion=40&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=2402000974893&type=234
Data validation fileRussia_Kaluga_region_Governor_2020.pdf
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Russia_Kaluga_region_Governor_2020.zip
Date of verification10/2/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy of 317 registered voters, 90 ballots (no digital PECs).

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020.

The CEC, by introducing the captcha mechanism on its website, deliberately created obstacles for citizens to familiarize themselves with and analyze the election results. This, in turn, reduced the reliability of capturing published data using the Wayback Machine and similar servers.

Translated with DeepL

in the Lab
Official title:

Election of the Governor of the Leningrad Region

Winner/leader:

Alexander Drozdenko

Wikipedia article:

Выборы губернатора Ленинградской области (2020)

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.
Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.leningrad-reg.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/leningrad-reg?action=show&root=1&tvd=24720001130665&vrn=24720001130661®ion=47&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=24720001130665&type=234
Data validation fileRussia_Leningrad_region_Governor_2020.pdf
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Russia_Leningrad_region_Governor_2020.zip
Date of verification10/2/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy of 93 voters, 45 ballots (no digital PECs).

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020.

The CEC, by introducing the captcha mechanism on its website, deliberately created obstacles for citizens to familiarize themselves with and analyze the election results. This, in turn, reduced the reliability of capturing published data using the Wayback Machine and similar servers.

in the Lab
12

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